地球扰动引力对弹道导弹命中精度影响的等效补偿理论

为消除地球扰动引力的影响、提高弹道导弹的命中精度,根据地球扰动引力对弹道导弹运动影响的特性与控制系统理论,建立不直接补偿地球扰动引力对导弹运动参数的影响却能满足命中精度要求的等效补偿理论。根据不同补偿方式与补偿量的特点,提出嵌入式、分步式、分段式等补偿模式,为补偿地球扰动引力对导弹运动的影响提供了一个通用框架和理论基础。     

飞机结构疲劳可靠度贝叶斯组合预测

在实际工程中,常常需要利用模型去描述和分析问题。然而模型亦存在不确定性,即可能存在多个描述同一现象的模型,例如多个疲劳分析的模型。针对飞机结构的疲劳可靠性问题,提出在考虑三种裂纹扩展模型下基于贝叶斯公式的疲劳可靠度组合预测方法。针对不同应力水平下飞机结构试件的裂纹扩展数据建立了三种随机裂纹扩展模型;在考虑模型参数不确定性条件下,采用贝叶斯模型平均方法对三种模型进行组合;基于组合模型分析结构的可靠度。所提方法在分析飞机结构疲劳可靠度上,采用了组合模型,能够最大限度保障结果的稳定性。此外,考虑了模型参数的不确定性,能够得到更为合理的裂纹扩展预测分布和可靠度预测值。给出的实例及分析结果表明所提方法可行。     

Stochastic call center staffing with uncertain arrival,service and abandonment rates: A Bayesian perspective

In this article, we introduce staffing strategies for the Erlang‐A queuing system in call center operations with uncertain arrival, service, and abandonment rates. In doing so, we model the system rates using gamma distributions that create randomness in operating characteristics used in the optimization formulation. We divide the day into discrete time intervals where a simulation based stochastic programming method is used to determine staffing levels. More specifically, we develop a model to select the optimal number of agents required for a given time interval by minimizing an expected cost function, which consists of agent and abandonment (opportunity) costs, while considering the service quality requirements such as the delay probability. The objective function as well as the constraints in our formulation are random variables. The novelty of our approach is to introduce a solution method for the staffing of an operation where all three system rates (arrival, service, and abandonment) are random variables. We illustrate the use of the proposed model using both real and simulated call center data. In addition, we provide solution comparisons across different formulations, consider a dynamic extension, and discuss sensitivity implications of changing constraint upper bounds as well as prior hyper‐parameters. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 460–478, 2016     

疲劳裂纹闭合的非线性超声在线测量

建立了外部载荷作用下用非线性振动-声场调制指数表征裂纹尺寸的数学模型。根据对外载荷与塑性致闭应力共同作用下裂纹面的开闭响应的分析,提出了裂纹张开和闭合应力的在线测量方法。在一块含中心穿透裂纹的铝合金薄板试件上进行了裂纹闭合参数的测量实验,实验结果表明,使用振动-声场调制技术在线测量裂纹闭合参数是可行且有效的,且该方法还能用于分析小裂纹的特殊开闭行为。     

商贸城消防安全管理存在问题及对策

针对贵州省商贸城商业用房的消防安全管理工作现状的分析,提出以＂防火墙＂工作建设为契机,加大对商贸城商业用房的消防安全管理力度,使此项重而难的工作逐步走向良好轨道,避免出现重大火灾事故,为构建和谐社会奠定良好基础。     

基于移动作战指挥中心的《消防通信A》课程实践教学改革

依托消防通信指挥车进行《消防通信A》课程改革,以技能和通信指挥训练为主线,强化和培养学员综合运用理论知识的能力.在介绍《消防通信A》课程性质、作战指挥中心通信枢纽在大型灭火救援现场的地位作用与功能的基础上,提出了课程改革的思路、主要内容,并设计了考核评定方案。     

‘Blackmailing the army’ – ‘Strategic Military Refusal’ as policy and doctrine enforcement: the formation of a new security agent

The study shows how ‘strategic military refusal’ in Israel developed as a rational and institutional means to influence security policies. As opposed to the perspective that sees military refusal as a spontaneous individual act, the study illustrates how organizations operate to distribute military refusal in order to pressure decision-makers to change their military policies. This strategy has proven to be effective when the military is involved with groups that threaten it with refusal – which threatens the military's operational ability and its official and apolitical image. These include soldiers whose civilian authorities, rather than their military commanders, are perceived as an epistemic authority regarding security issues. The case study refers to the impact of strategic military refusal in Israel on security policies and the military doctrine. This was influenced by leftist groups, which, although they belonged to the parliamentary opposition, had dominant presence in the military ranks. Furthermore, the study examines the effect of the use of strategic military refusal on the model of military recruitment.     

嵌入式在线航空摄影测量方法

为满足空间数据实时处理的需求,提高航空摄影测量系统在线处理能力,研究一种在线摄影测量的理论与方法,运用嵌入式架构设计一种在线摄影测量系统,使用可编程门阵列(FPGA)方法、高级精简指令集机器组合数字信号处理器(ARM+DSP)方法等嵌入式计算技术建立专门的硬件运行环境,移植并优化现有算法到嵌入式系统中,实现摄影测量数据的在线处理。机载航摄实验结果表明,该方法能够实现对摄影测量数据进行快速稳定的在线处理,验证了运用嵌入式架构的在线摄影测量的可行性,把摄影测量的处理效率提高到了一个更高的水平,同时也进一步拓宽了摄影测量技术的应用领域。     

雷达维修保障系统效能的云重心评估

在雷达维修保障系统效能实际评估中,各项指标的参数通常以定性描述的形式来获得,模糊性和随机性较强。为了合理地处理模糊性、随机性以及定性描述与定量描述的关系,引入云重心评价法,提出一种基于多级云重心评价的雷达维修保障系统效能多级评估方法,得到了评估结果。该方法可以对各项指标进行优劣排序,评估结果较好地显示了当前系统效能的状态。     

FPGA、ARM DSP嵌入式技术的在线航空摄影测量方法*

为满足空间数据实时处理的需求,提高航空摄影测量系统在线处理能力,本文研究一种在线摄影测量的理论与方法,基于嵌入式架构设计一种在线摄影测量系统,使用FPGA、ARM DSP等嵌入式计算技术建立专门的硬件运行环境,移植并优化现有算法到嵌入式系统中,实现摄影测量数据的在线处理。机载航摄实验结果表明,本文方法能够实现对摄影测量数据进行快速稳定的在线处理,验证了基于嵌入式架构的在线摄影测量的可行性,把摄影测量的处理效率提高到了一个更高的水平,同时也进一步拓宽了摄影测量技术的应用领域。